Selections based on a good track

Race 1

8. Queen’s Gamble looks to have a more favourable set up than two weeks ago first-up in her eye-catching second over the same track and distance. Form through the winner has held up well, she’s fitter and should go close. 6. Lava Flow is on debut for the Baker stable and she’s won both trials in July leading into her first start. She’s been up on speed in those wins and draws to be prominent. Commands respect. 2. Phantom Major attacked the line well at his first start at Newcastle, just failing to snatch the race late. Back 50m but is one of the chances.How to play it: Queen’s Gamble to win.

Race 2

7. Glissando was never out of second gear when cruising to an easy win at Kembla as an odds-on favourite at her second start. No reason why she won’t relish the extra ground, draws the inside and will be hard to catch. 5. Viva Mauricio beat a subsequent winner when resuming at Hawkesbury but was a bit disappointing on testing ground at Rosehill when in the market last time. Can run well.How to play it: Glissando to win.

Race 3

4. Harry’s Evidence has a handy first-up record and returns with a trial win. He can find himself back in the field at times, which is a small concern, but with a genuine pace looking likely he might have the chance to pounce. 10. The Main Event is often big odds but he rarely runs a bad one and wasn’t disgraced when resuming in a Highway at Rosehill on heavy ground. Firmer going should suit and he could surprise. 6. The Little General started favourite second-up in a similar race two weeks ago and weakened after leading. Held on to score first-up and could bounce back.How to play it: Harry’s Evidence to win.

Race 4

6. Aethelwulf is set to start a short priced favourite off a runaway win over the mile at Kembla Grange when back onto a good track. Up in class and distance but looks a promising stayer and is the one to beat. 5. Dubai Warrior has a handy record and his win third-up at Wyong over 1600m contained plenty of merit. Go forward type and no surprise if he measures up. 3. Forbidden Riff is a lot better than his recent efforts would suggest and he comes back in class after a few Saturday runs where he’s not always had the best luck. Drawn okay and best is good enough.

How to play it: Aethelwulf to win.

Race 5

2. Brown Sugar showed early promise with wins at her first two starts before jumping into a Listed race. Her trials have been fair on wet tracks but her form on good ground is solid. Drawn well and with the claim has her chance to show up fresh. 5. Dietrich is yet to miss a place in six starts and went to a break with a Gosford win in February. Trialled well behind Annie’s Rose. 6. Raskol has been a bit disappointing but perhaps getting away from the wet tracks will help.How to play it: Brown Sugar each-way.

Race 6

6. Clear Proof signalled another win might not be far away with a game second two weeks ago behind Watson. Big gap to third. Rolls forward and races best when on speed, close to peak with three runs back and sure to be a major player. 10. Silencio Porfavor romped home at Newcastle then found himself on the fence when a close up fifth at Rosehill behind Columbia Blue. Firmer ground helps, draws well and no surprise if he’s in the finish. 1. Snack Bar is up 4.5kg on his second in the same race and he finds James McDonald and barrier one. Seems to react to being saved for one run and may have that chance from the draw. Very short price.How to play it: Clear Proof each-way.

Race 7

1. Conchiero backs up after a solid third from on the speed at Kensington last week and if anything this may have a bit less depth. He’ll put himself on the speed as usual and if he can get some early breaks should take catching. 11. Sister Daae doesn’t win out of turn but the form around her is handy with a third behind Satono Jasmine a few weeks ago. Just the one win in 17 but can’t leave her out. 12. Dorados is fitter for a first-up placing at Wyong when run down by Sponars. Will continue to improve as the distances increase.How to play it: Conchiero to win.

Best Bets: Race 1 (8) Queen’s Gamble; Race 2 (7) Glissando

Best Value: Race 6 (6) Clear Proof

Supplied by Racing NSW